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# Screen School #1 — How to Read a Premium-Selling Scan
- URL: https://www.narrativeflowintel.com/screen-school-1-how-to-read-a-premium-selling-scan/
- Published: 2026-10-21T16:00:00.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-25T04:01:42.000Z
- Author: NFI Research Desk
- Tags: Screen School

**A premium screen is a ranking of compensation, not a ranking of quality. This first edition walks through one real scan — what each column measures, why the richest premium on the page is also the most dangerous, and how to spot the rows that are lying to you.**

*Data snapshot: Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 10:21 ET. Spreads and cash-secured puts priced from yfinance chain midpoints (\~15-minute delayed). In-the-money puts priced from live Schwab chains. Universe: 541 tickers scanned; 403 produced candidates (6,442 rows).*

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## 1\. What a premium screen actually measures

A premium-selling scan starts from a simple premise: an option seller is paid to insure other people's risk. The screen's job is to find where that insurance is priced richest relative to the risk actually being underwritten. Three numbers do most of the work.

**ROC on cash committed.** For a cash-secured put, the return on capital is the credit received divided by the strike price — the cash reserved if the shares are assigned. A $33.00 credit on a $100 strike is a 33.0% ROC. It is a raw, un-annualized number: it says what the market pays for this contract over this window, nothing more. Annualizing it would be marketing, not analysis.

**Breakeven cushion, in ATRs.** The breakeven on a short put is the strike minus the credit. What matters is how far that breakeven sits below the current price, measured in units of the stock's own 14-day average true range (ATR) — its typical daily travel. A cushion of 0.42 ATR means the stock needs to fall less than half a normal day's range before the trade is underwater. A cushion of 3 ATRs is a different animal entirely. Measuring distance in ATRs normalizes across a $4 stock and a $2,000 stock.

**IV/HV ratio.** Implied volatility is what the options market charges for future movement; realized volatility (here, 21-day historical volatility) is what the stock has actually done. When IV/HV is 1.85, options are pricing nearly twice the movement the stock has recently delivered — the seller is, in principle, being paid for more risk than has shown up. When IV/HV is below 1.0, the market is charging *less* than realized movement, and there is nothing to harvest. Today's scan contained a clean example of the latter: one large-cap candidate printed IV/HV of 0.57 — implied vol at barely half of realized. That row is a pass, whatever its ROC says.

The screen used for this edition hunts in a specific band: in-the-money puts with delta between 0.55 and 0.80, 7 to 35 days to expiry, ranked by ROC, then validated on cushion, strike distance, IV/HV, RSI, and distance from the 50-day average. The band matters: these are acquisition-style strikes, deep enough that assignment is a realistic outcome, not a tail event.

Read one clean row end to end and the grammar becomes clear. SOXL's Nov-13 $130 put: a $33.00 credit, 25.4% ROC, breakeven $97.00\. The breakeven rested just 0.25 ATR under spot — a thin cushion — while the strike itself stood 2.36 ATRs above spot, close enough to be a genuine acquisition level rather than a lottery ticket, with IV/HV at 1.31: elevated, not extreme. Thin cushion, plausible strike, rich-but-explainable premium — three facts in one row, and the row cannot be understood from the ROC figure alone. That is the entire discipline this series teaches: every column is a qualifier on every other column.

## 2\. Today's richest real premium — and why "richest" means "riskiest"

The richest genuine premium in today's scan belonged to WGS. The Nov-13 $100 put carried a $33.00 credit — 33.0% ROC on cash committed — with spot near $69–71, implied volatility around 132%, and an IV/HV ratio of 1.85\. The breakeven of $67.00 sat 0.42 ATR below spot. Short float: 36.1% of the float. Earnings: October 27 — six days out, inside the life of the contract.

Read that row properly and it tells a coherent story. The premium is not a gift; it is a price. The market is paying 33 cents on the dollar because the contract spans a binary earnings event in a heavily shorted, thin-float name where a double-digit gap in either direction is a live possibility. The 0.42 ATR cushion is thin — less than half a typical day's range separates spot from breakeven, in a stock whose typical day is about to be interrupted by the least typical day of its quarter.

This is the single most important habit in reading any premium screen: **the ROC column ranks compensation for risk borne. It does not rank attractiveness.** The rows beneath WGS today — IREN at 29.1%, AAOI at 28.0%, ASTS at 26.2%, CRWV at 25.9%, SOXL at 25.4% — are not "worse trades." They are differently priced risks. Several carry cushions and event profiles a seller might rationally prefer at a lower headline number. A screen sorts; it does not judge.

## 3\. The artifact lesson — when the screen lies

Two rows in today's scan printed higher ROC than WGS. Both were fake.

DKNG's Nov-06 $35 put printed "42.5%" with an IV/HV of 4.59\. Impressive — until you look at the geometry. The stock was trading at $20.43\. The $35 strike sits **15.5 ATRs above spot**. That is not a premium-selling candidate; it is a stale or distorted quote on a strike so far from the money that the "credit" is mostly a data artifact, and any fill assumption built on it is fiction.

ACHR was worse: a Nov-13 $9.50 put printing "57.4%" on a $3.95 stock, IV/HV 5.13, the strike **21.4 ATRs above spot** — and a breakeven *above* the current price, which for a short put means the "trade" starts life already losing. The discovery list told the same story at scale: of the top twelve non-watchlist names by raw ROC, eleven were far-strike artifacts. The single clean discovery, SOXS's Nov-13 $65 put at 32.5%, sat a plausible 5.04 ATRs from spot.

Three tells catch nearly all of it:

1. **Strike distance.** If the strike is more than \~6 ATRs from spot, the row is guilty until proven innocent.
2. **Breakeven above spot on a short put.** A breakeven on the wrong side of the current price is not a cushion; it is a contradiction.
3. **IV/HV above 3.** Real event vol can push IV/HV toward 2\. Beyond 3, you are usually looking at a broken quote, not a rich one.

Any screen that ranks by ROC alone will promote these rows to the top, because artifacts are unconstrained by reality. The validators exist precisely to demote them.

## 4\. Event volatility — premium with an expiry date on the premium itself

The spreads side of today's scan printed its own headline: an MRNA Oct-30 put credit spread at 60.0% ROC, on implied volatility of 168%. That is event volatility — the market pricing a known catalyst (earnings) into a contract that expires just after it.

Event premium behaves differently from structural premium in one crucial way: it is rented, not owned. The moment the catalyst prints, implied volatility collapses toward realized levels — the "IV crush" — and the contract reprices violently whether or not the stock moves. A seller of event premium is making a specific bet: that the move the market has priced is larger than the move that will actually occur.

There is a second, quieter consequence. Because the premium is concentrated around the event, time decay is not the smooth daily drip of a structural trade — it is a cliff. Before the print, the contract can sit nearly unchanged for days while the event approaches; after it, what remains is whatever the realized move left behind. Comparing an event-driven ROC against a structural ROC without adjusting for that difference is comparing two different instruments that happen to share a name.

Today's other spread prints sat on the same spectrum at lower intensity — RDDT's Oct-30 put spread at 27.1%, CAH's at 25.8%, NBIS's Oct-23 spread at 20.3% — each a judgment, embedded in a price, about how much movement is coming and when.

## 5\. What the screen cannot tell you

A scan is a measurement instrument. It cannot read a balance sheet, judge whether a 36% short float is a squeeze setup or an informed consensus, or weigh a pipeline catalyst against a cash position. It cannot size a trade — ROC contains no information about how much capital a position deserves, what else it correlates with, or what its loss would do to the person holding it. And it cannot answer the only question that ultimately matters — whether a given structure belongs in a given portfolio at a given moment. That judgment is not a column. It stays, entirely, with the reader.

Used properly, a screen like today's does one job: it converts 541 tickers and 6,442 contract rows into a short list of honestly priced risks and a slightly longer list of data errors pretending to be opportunities. Knowing which list a row belongs on is most of the skill.

## Threads to watch

- **Earnings density:** the richest premiums in this scan cluster around reports due within days — the ranking will reprice violently as those prints land and event vol drains out of the chain.
- **Artifact discipline:** quote quality on far strikes degrades exactly when volatility rises — the busier the tape, the more the validators earn their keep.
- **IV/HV compression:** names printing IV/HV near or below 1.0 (today's large-cap example: 0.57) mark where premium has already been harvested out of a name — the screen's quiet rows are information too.

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**Disclaimer.** This edition is educational content published by Narrative Flow Intelligence for the purpose of explaining how premium-selling screens are constructed and read. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation, and not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security or option contract. Structures shown are scan output presented for teaching; no positions are disclosed and none should be inferred. Options involve substantial risk, including assignment and loss exceeding the premium received. Data: spreads and cash-secured puts from yfinance chain midpoints, approximately 15 minutes delayed; in-the-money puts from live Schwab chains; snapshot taken Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 10:21 ET. Prices, volatilities, and rankings change continuously and will differ from any later observation. Verify all figures independently before making any financial decision, and consult a licensed financial adviser regarding your own circumstances.